Is the NLU bubble bursting or maturing? 2014 undergrad CLAT growth is lowest ever (but PG booms)

Has law as a career clateaud?
Has law as a career clateaud?

31,231 national law school hopefuls sat the Common Law Admissions Test (CLAT) conducted by GNLU Gandhinagar this weekend, which was the lowest growth rate recorded since the exam began in 2008.

According to a press release from GNLU, 31,231 candidates sat the undergraduate CLAT yesterday competing for 1,660 seats, stating: “CLAT which began in 2007 has been witnessing ever increasing number of candidates participating in the exam to get admission into one of the national law universities. 2014 has witnessed the highest number of students appearing for the test.”

However, the number of undergraduate test takers is an increase of only 5 per cent compared to last year, marking the lowest year-on-year increase since 2010.

History repeating

In 2008 only 10,773 candidates applied for the first CLAT, held by NLSIU Bangalore, but the numbers grew rapidly year by year as more national law schools joined the CLAT club and law became an increasingly attractive career option.

In 2009 and and 2011, the number of applicants grew by a huge 28 per cent, while in 2010 and 2013 the growth-rate was around 13 per cent.

This dipped to a growth rate of only 7 per cent in 2012 and to just over 5 per cent growth this year at GNLU.

The number of national law schools has ballooned in recent years: a total of 15 national law schools are part of this year’s CLAT, including Tamil Nadu National Law School Srirangam that was granted provisional inclusion by the Madras high court early this month. This is more than twice as many as in 2008 when only seven were part of the CLAT.

Despite the number of applicants having increased by around 200 per cent between 2008 and 2014 and the number of law schools more than doubling, the number of undergraduate seats has only increased by 60 per cent, from 1,037 in 2008 to 1,660 this year.

NLU Delhi continues to conduct its own admissions test, the AILET.

Postgrad booms

While the undergraduate applications may be reaching a plateau, the postgraduate admissions are stronger than ever: 2,260 postgraduate candidates sat this year’s exam for 491 seats available, according to GNLU.

This is a hike of 63 per cent on last year when only 1,385 postgraduate candidates sat the CLAT.

2013 was the first year that the shorter one-year LLM began to be offered by many national law schools, in a bid to make the domestic LLM more popular and relevant.

Results will be declared on 31 May followed by a “counselling period” for the top-ranking 2,500 “merit-cum-preference candidates”, according to GNLU, with the admissions process closing by 30 June.

Comments

observer 12 May 2014, 07:36
+19 -2
I think, the increase in the number of PG candidates is majorly because, lot of PSUs in India, have been asking for CLAT PG score as a criteria for the junior law officer positions.
Correct Observation 12 May 2014, 11:51
+5 -1
Expressly the case in IOC advert and for a number of banks, prelim selection is on the basis of the CLAT PG Score.
Anon 12 May 2014, 14:55
+8 -3
I think it was just Indian oil and no other.
Guest 12 May 2014, 07:40
+8 -3
Career clateau? Good pun, unintended or otherwise :D
Guest 12 May 2014, 08:13
+4 -4
On a related note, I would request you to please speak to major law firm partners and seek their view on whether a Modi government will mean liberalisation of legal services as well as more hiring by Indian law firms. This will no doubt impact NLU graduates.

Unfortunately there is very little coverage on how the elections will impact the legal profession.
kianganz 12 May 2014, 08:38
+1 -0
We've done a few stories on this subject actually:

http://www.legallyindia.com/201403054407/Legal-opinions/examining-congress-record-on-india-s-lawyers-could-namo-or-kejri-do-better
http://www.legallyindia.com/News/bjp-manifesto-v-cong-manifesto-same-same-except-gay-sex-fdi-cow-protection
http://www.legallyindia.com/Interactive/majority-of-lawyers-want-bjp-to-win-then-aap-in-li-poll-as-cong-ties-last-with-nota

tl;dr - neither party will push for liberalisation of the legal market, probably.
abc 12 May 2014, 08:14
+0 -0
Kian are these 1600 seats merit seats or all seats? Please clarify how many merit seats there are.
kianganz 12 May 2014, 08:21
+0 -0
Sorry, silly me - we wrote about it recently:
http://www.legallyindia.com/201401024212

[quote]This year there are a total of 1,660 undergraduate seats available via CLAT national law schools, of which 436 are reserved for state quotas. A total of 794 seats are available in the general list.[/quote]
kianganz 12 May 2014, 08:15
+0 -1
I think this must be all seats, including general list and reservations, but I'm not sure. Will ask GNLU...
True 12 May 2014, 08:17
+1 -0
Its simple demand-supply economics. Growth in terms of number of applicants must plateau if the seats are not increased commensurately.
kianganz 12 May 2014, 08:31
+0 -0
Not sure if that's true here - the historical stats we have about the number of seats available are a bit gappy unfortunately, but I think demand for law / the CLAT was increasing faster than the number of places / supply was increasing (i.e., every year the exam was more competitive than it was the previous year).

In part that no doubt has something to do with the attractiveness of law as a career, as well as population growth.

It would be interesting comparing and contrasting those figures with applications for IIT JEEs, medicine and other professions... Haven't been able to find any stats on those - does anyone have any?
True 12 May 2014, 09:12
+2 -0
Like all brand new courses, law, too, especially in the 5 year course avatar, drew great expectations and, with it, numbers. Naturally, the growth was faster in the initial years. However, the point that i was making is that this growth must plateau over years showing a direct co-relation to the seats.

Historically, barring the last 15-20 years, law has never been a career choice. Therefore, comparing the CLAT numbers with those of IIT-JEE, Medical entrance tests is like comparing apples and oranges. There is no case for a relative comparison here!
kianganz 12 May 2014, 09:25
+0 -0
True, comparing absolute numbers won't say much, but comparing the year-on-year increase and whether law is growing faster/slower (comparatively) than engineering or other disciplines would be interesting.

Obviously education across the board is booming, so even a 20% year-on-year hike in law school applications could be meaningless, potentially...
The law is an ass 12 May 2014, 09:06
+15 -0
ABout time kids realise how difficult it is to sustain oneself in this family-dominated sexist profession. If you don't have daddy ka paisa and power to sail you through the first few years then put your life to some better use.
pi 12 May 2014, 09:19
+0 -0
clat should be made mandatory for entering all law colleges and pathshalas, then there will be some consistency in the quality of law students pan india; gopal subramanium wanted to bring in a common law test to enter into law college and bar exam to enter legal practice; he was able to implement one but not the other before he had to exit, the next chairmen were all happy to reap the windfall from the aibe and not think of the common entrance test
Anon 12 May 2014, 14:15
+0 -0
Number of post graduate applicants has seen a surge for the only reason that Indian Oil Corporation is using CLAT score this time for the purpose of hiring law officers. This percentage is sure to plummet next year. Wont be a surprise if the number of applicants fall below the number of applicants for the years 2013 and 2014.
Realist SKB 15 May 2014, 17:40
+0 -2
It was never a bubble.The fact is that 10 years ago 5 year law degree was available at a few NLUs & prominent law colleges; so parents had no option other than sending their teenager child to NLUs etc. But now there are many many options.
LILATGOYAL 21 May 2014, 04:20
+0 -0
I think the phenomenon has been common to other undergrad exams like jee, pmt as well.
Dazed 27 May 2014, 13:58
+0 -0
I think we have double the amount of NLUs we need. Oversupply at its worst. Stop before its too late.
The law is an ass v2 12 Jun 2014, 09:22
+3 -0
Every law school should have a orientation program on the first day where the students are conveyed to realities of this profession and the stakes involved. Scoring high marks, writing a paper and even winning a moot doesn't mean shit. The emphasis put on all these "extra-curricular" activities are so much in NLUs that students lose track of the real world. There should be extensive courses on drafting and procedures.